Trinseo Sa Stock Performance

TSE Stock  USD 0.39  0.02  4.88%   
The entity has a beta of 3.24, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Trinseo SA will likely underperform. At this point, Trinseo SA has a negative expected return of -0.94%. Please make sure to validate Trinseo SA's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Trinseo SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Trinseo SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1023
Payout Ratio
0.3668
Last Split Factor
1:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.04
Dividend Date
2025-07-24
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Begin Period Cash Flow261.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-55.1 M

Trinseo SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  85.00  in Trinseo SA on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (46.00) from holding Trinseo SA or give up 54.12% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trinseo SA is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 8.3217% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 74% of stocks are less volatile than Trinseo, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Trinseo SA is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 11.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Trinseo SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trinseo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.39 90 days 0.39 
about 88.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trinseo SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.31 (This Trinseo SA probability density function shows the probability of Trinseo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.24 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Trinseo SA will likely underperform. Additionally Trinseo SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trinseo SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trinseo SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trinseo SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trinseo SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.418.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.508.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.42-2.42-2.42
Details

Trinseo SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trinseo SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trinseo SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trinseo SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trinseo SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Trinseo SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trinseo SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trinseo SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trinseo SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trinseo SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Trinseo SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.51 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (348.5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 193.8 M.
Trinseo SA has about 209.8 M in cash with (22.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.57, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Badger Infrastructure Solutions Rating Increased to Strong-Buy at Acumen Capital

Trinseo SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trinseo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trinseo SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trinseo SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments209.8 M

Trinseo SA Fundamentals Growth

Trinseo Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trinseo SA, and Trinseo SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trinseo Stock performance.

About Trinseo SA Performance

By analyzing Trinseo SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Trinseo SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Trinseo SA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Trinseo SA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 35.12  34.50 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.20)(0.19)
Return On Capital Employed(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Assets(0.15)(0.14)
Return On Equity 0.51  0.53 

Things to note about Trinseo SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trinseo SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trinseo SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trinseo SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trinseo SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Trinseo SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.51 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (348.5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 193.8 M.
Trinseo SA has about 209.8 M in cash with (22.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.57, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Badger Infrastructure Solutions Rating Increased to Strong-Buy at Acumen Capital
Evaluating Trinseo SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trinseo SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Trinseo SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trinseo SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trinseo SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trinseo SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trinseo SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trinseo SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trinseo SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trinseo SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trinseo SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Trinseo SA's price analysis, check to measure Trinseo SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trinseo SA is operating at the current time. Most of Trinseo SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trinseo SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trinseo SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trinseo SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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